Wednesday, January 8, 2025

Plan a disciplined series of sales that get the grain bins emptied before the rest of the farmers look around and realize they have to empty the bins for next year.

Short week, but lots of activity still happening in the markets.

Speculation about Russian wheat exports seems to be the cause of recent price jumps in the Chicago wheat futures.

The most notable feature of this week on the Chicago Board of Trade is the lack of trading hours.

I am remembering the traditional harvest schedule of my youth, when we hoped to have the crop in by Thanksgiving Day.
Soybean harvest

With the big grain crops, prices do not have a good reason to improve. There are hard decisions ahead for farmers.

The combination of a big harvest, falling storage space and the export market are impacting the price of corn and soybeans.

There is nothing in the market to indicate we could have high grain prices. We have just seen a bounce from awful prices.

As usual, it is all about the reaction to the USDA reports. In this case, the market did not seem to look at the numbers the same way Monday as they did Friday.

Phones are not ringing in cash grain trading offices across the Midwest, and when farmers get together, they talk about why they did not sell $4.50 corn when they had the chance.